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ASTROMETRIC UPDATE:
OCCULTATION BY (702) ALAUDA - 2000 APRIL 26

THIS UPDATE REPLACES THE PREVIOUS UPDATE OF 20 APRIL.


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[Prediction by Edwin Goffin]

[Prediction using OCCULT software]

[Detailed finder chart by Jan Manek]

Goffin's predicted path crosses central Chile at low altitude, crosses the southern Pacific Ocean and covers the north-eastern extremeties of the North Island of New Zealand. The path then covers the western portions of Papua New Guinea and the extreme north-eastern areas of Irian Jaya. The path predicted by OCCULT lies around half a path width to the north at essentially the same time.


UPDATE: 23 April 2000

This prediction update is supplied by Jan Manek of the Stefanik Observatory, Prague, and is based on USNO/Flagstaff and TMO astrometry for the minor planet and the TYC-2 star position.

Summary:

This update suggests a path shift of around 3 pathwidths to the east and around 0.8 minute later than that given by Goffin. The new path completely misses New Zealand and the main island of New Guinea. The path passes near New Caledonia (10:32 UT) and crosses the east end of the island of New Britain around 10:34:20 UT.

The asteroid is currently at -40 degrees declination. This results in rather a large scatter in positions and gives a poorer accuracy of prediction. Consequently, observers are still urged to monitor this event.

THE EVENT AT ONE GLIMPSE:

The Occultation Path: Data for the target star:
Data for the minor planet: Data for the event:

Alauda Update

IMPORTANT NOTE!

Astrometric updates such as these should not be taken as definitive, but rather only as an indication of where the true track may lie relative to the original predicted track. Observers must bear in mind that later astrometry, in which the target star is measured in the same field as the asteroid, may still reveal substantial changes to the predicted track and time of the event. For this reason it is most important that observers far from the predicted track still monitor the event.

Use these links for further information:
[Planetary Occultations] [Using the Predictions]
[Observing Details] [Timing Details] [Reporting Details] [Report Form]
[Asteroid Occultation Results]


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