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ASTROMETRIC UPDATE:
OCCULTATION BY (15810) 1994JR1 - 2009 Jun 28

[Edwin Goffin's Prediction + Finder Charts]

[Detailed Finder Charts]


Updated:   2009 MAY 18, 00:54 UT

Event Rank : 0

(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).


THE UPDATED PATH

Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.

1994JR1 Update Map


On 2009 Jun 28 UT, the 187 km diameter asteroid (15810) 1994 JR1 will occult a 11.8 mag star in the constellation Sagittarius for observers along a broad path across Australia, from Lismore in northeastern New South Wales across southwestern Queensland and southern Northern Territory near Alice Springs, before crossing northern Western Australia at low elevation and into evening twilight. It also just includes Cape Reinga in New Zealand.

In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 11.4 mag to 23.1 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 7.8 seconds.

This update is based on historical astrometry from the MPC files (via AstDys), and the following catalogs for the star position: UCAC.

Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/

EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY : Data for the target star : Data for the minor planet : The Occultation Path :
                   Centre              Star  Star   Sun      Path Limits           Error Limits
  E. Longitude   Latitude      U.T.    Alt    Az   Alt    Limit 1    Limit 2    Limit 3    Limit 4
      o  '  "     o  '  "    h  m  s     o     o     o    o  '  "    o  '  "    o  '  "    o  '  "
                                                         Latitude   Latitude   Latitude   Latitude
    118  0  0   -18 15 18    9 41  3     5   110     0  -17 18 55  -19 11 57   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    119  0  0   -18 37 29    9 41  3     6   110    -1  -17 41  7  -19 34  7   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    120  0  0   -18 59 34    9 41  2     7   109    -2  -18  3 13  -19 56 12   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    121  0  0   -19 21 34    9 41  2     8   109    -3  -18 25 14  -20 18 11   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    122  0  0   -19 43 28    9 41  1     9   109    -5  -18 47  9  -20 40  4   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    123  0  0   -20  5 16    9 41  0    10   108    -6  -19  8 58  -21  1 51   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    124  0  0   -20 26 57    9 40 59    11   108    -7  -19 30 41  -21 23 30   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    125  0  0   -20 48 31    9 40 58    12   108    -8  -19 52 16  -21 45  3   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    126  0  0   -21  9 57    9 40 57    13   107    -9  -20 13 43  -22  6 27   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    127  0  0   -21 31 14    9 40 56    14   107    -9  -20 35  3  -22 27 43   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    128  0  0   -21 52 23    9 40 55    15   106   -10  -20 56 14  -22 48 50   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    129  0  0   -22 13 23    9 40 54    16   106   -11  -21 17 16  -23  9 47   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    130  0  0   -22 34 14    9 40 52    17   106   -12  -21 38  9  -23 30 36   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    131  0  0   -22 54 55    9 40 51    18   105   -13  -21 58 51  -23 51 14   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    132  0  0   -23 15 25    9 40 50    19   105   -14  -22 19 24  -24 11 42   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    133  0  0   -23 35 45    9 40 48    19   104   -15  -22 39 47  -24 31 59   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    134  0  0   -23 55 54    9 40 46    20   104   -16  -22 59 58  -24 52  6   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    135  0  0   -24 15 51    9 40 45    21   103   -17  -23 19 59  -25 12  0   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    136  0  0   -24 35 37    9 40 43    22   103   -18  -23 39 47  -25 31 43   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    137  0  0   -24 55 11    9 40 41    23   103   -19  -23 59 24  -25 51 14   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    138  0  0   -25 14 33    9 40 39    24   102   -20  -24 18 49  -26 10 33   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    139  0  0   -25 33 42    9 40 37    25   102   -21  -24 38  1  -26 29 39   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    140  0  0   -25 52 38    9 40 35    26   101   -22  -24 57  0  -26 48 32   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    141  0  0   -26 11 21    9 40 33    27   101   -23  -25 15 46  -27  7 11   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    142  0  0   -26 29 50    9 40 31    28   100   -24  -25 34 19  -27 25 37   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    143  0  0   -26 48  5    9 40 29    29   100   -25  -25 52 38  -27 43 49   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    144  0  0   -27  6  7    9 40 27    30    99   -26  -26 10 43  -28  1 47   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    145  0  0   -27 23 54    9 40 25    31    98   -27  -26 28 34  -28 19 31   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    146  0  0   -27 41 27    9 40 22    32    98   -28  -26 46 10  -28 37  0   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    147  0  0   -27 58 45    9 40 20    33    97   -29  -27  3 32  -28 54 15   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    148  0  0   -28 15 49    9 40 17    33    97   -30  -27 20 39  -29 11 14   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    149  0  0   -28 32 37    9 40 15    34    96   -30  -27 37 31  -29 27 58   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    150  0  0   -28 49 10    9 40 12    35    96   -31  -27 54  8  -29 44 27   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    151  0  0   -29  5 27    9 40 10    36    95   -32  -28 10 29  -30  0 41   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    152  0  0   -29 21 29    9 40  7    37    94   -33  -28 26 34  -30 16 39   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    153  0  0   -29 37 14    9 40  4    38    94   -34  -28 42 24  -30 32 20   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    154  0  0   -29 52 44    9 40  2    39    93   -35  -28 57 58  -30 47 46   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    155  0  0   -30  7 58    9 39 59    40    92   -36  -29 13 15  -31  2 56   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    156  0  0   -30 22 55    9 39 56    40    92   -37  -29 28 16  -31 17 50   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    157  0  0   -30 37 36    9 39 53    41    91   -38  -29 43  1  -31 32 27   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    158  0  0   -30 52  1    9 39 51    42    90   -38  -29 57 30  -31 46 47   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    159  0  0   -31  6  8    9 39 48    43    90   -39  -30 11 41  -32  0 51   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    160  0  0   -31 20  0    9 39 45    44    89   -40  -30 25 36  -32 14 38   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    161  0  0   -31 33 34    9 39 42    45    88   -41  -30 39 14  -32 28  8   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    162  0  0   -31 46 51    9 39 39    46    87   -42  -30 52 35  -32 41 22   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    163  0  0   -31 59 51    9 39 36    46    87   -43  -31  5 39  -32 54 18   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    164  0  0   -32 12 34    9 39 33    47    86   -44  -31 18 26  -33  6 57   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    165  0  0   -32 25  0    9 39 30    48    85   -44  -31 30 56  -33 19 19   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    166  0  0   -32 37  9    9 39 27    49    84   -45  -31 43  8  -33 31 24   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    167  0  0   -32 49  0    9 39 23    50    83   -46  -31 55  3  -33 43 11   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    168  0  0   -33  0 34    9 39 20    50    82   -47  -32  6 41  -33 54 41   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    169  0  0   -33 11 50    9 39 17    51    81   -48  -32 18  1  -34  5 54   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    170  0  0   -33 22 49    9 39 14    52    80   -49  -32 29  3  -34 16 50   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    171  0  0   -33 33 30    9 39 11    53    80   -49  -32 39 48  -34 27 27   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    172  0  0   -33 43 54    9 39  7    54    79   -50  -32 50 15  -34 37 48   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    173  0  0   -33 54  0    9 39  4    54    78   -51  -33  0 25  -34 47 50   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    174  0  0   -34  3 49    9 39  1    55    77   -52  -33 10 17  -34 57 36   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    175  0  0   -34 13 20    9 38 57    56    75   -53  -33 19 51  -35  7  3   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    176  0  0   -34 22 33    9 38 54    57    74   -53  -33 29  7  -35 16 13   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    177  0  0   -34 31 28    9 38 51    57    73   -54  -33 38  6  -35 25  5   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

    178  0  0   -34 40  6    9 38 47    58    72   -55  -33 46 46  -35 33 40   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    179  0  0   -34 48 26    9 38 44    59    71   -56  -33 55  9  -35 41 57   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
    180  0  0   -34 56 28    9 38 40    59    70   -56  -34  3 14  -35 49 56   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
   -179  0  0   -35  4 12    9 38 37    60    68   -57  -34 11  2  -35 57 38   .. .. ..   .. .. ..
   -178  0  0   -35 11 39    9 38 34    61    67   -58  -34 18 31  -36  5  2   .. .. ..   .. .. ..

   -177  0  0   -35 18 48    9 38 30    62    66   -59  -34 25 42  -36 12  8   .. .. ..   .. .. ..


Uncertainty in time = +/- 8204 secs

Prediction of 2009 May 18.0

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