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Updated: 2015 APR 24, 20:05 UT
Event Rank : 24
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2015 Jun 12 UT, the 17 km diameter asteroid (1342) Brabantia will occult a 10.8 mag star in the constellation Norma for observers along a very narrow path across New Zealand, crossing the south island from Palmerston to Wanaka, and across Australia from Wollongong across New South Wales, south-western Queensland and into northern Northern Territory.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 3.4 mag to 14.1 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 1.7 seconds.
This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Hugh Harris, historical astrometry from the MPC files (via AstDys), and the following catalogs for the star position: UCAC.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits
E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4
o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' "
Longitude Longitude Longitude Longitude
130 31 30 - 5 0 0 13 50 59 40 181 -62 130 37 1 130 26 0 131 8 36 129 54 36
130 56 56 - 6 0 0 13 50 50 41 181 -63 131 2 29 130 51 24 131 34 15 130 19 51
131 23 5 - 7 0 0 13 50 42 42 181 -64 131 28 39 131 17 31 132 0 36 130 45 47
131 49 58 - 8 0 0 13 50 33 43 182 -65 131 55 35 131 44 22 132 27 43 131 12 27
132 17 37 - 9 0 0 13 50 24 44 182 -66 132 23 16 132 11 59 132 55 38 131 39 51
132 46 4 -10 0 0 13 50 15 45 182 -67 132 51 45 132 40 23 133 24 21 132 8 1
133 15 20 -11 0 0 13 50 6 46 183 -68 133 21 3 133 9 37 133 53 55 132 37 0
133 45 28 -12 0 0 13 49 56 47 183 -69 133 51 14 133 39 42 134 24 22 133 6 49
Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude
134 0 0 -12 28 20 13 49 51 47 183 -69 -12 17 6 -12 39 32 -11 12 9 -13 42 53
135 0 0 -14 21 13 13 49 33 49 184 -71 -14 10 26 -14 31 59 -13 8 1 -15 32 58
136 0 0 -16 7 59 13 49 14 51 185 -73 -15 57 35 -16 18 22 -14 57 29 -17 17 12
137 0 0 -17 49 6 13 48 56 53 186 -74 -17 39 3 -17 59 8 -16 41 2 -18 56 1
138 0 0 -19 24 59 13 48 39 54 188 -76 -19 15 16 -19 34 42 -18 19 8 -20 29 47
139 0 0 -20 56 0 13 48 21 55 189 -77 -20 46 34 -21 5 25 -19 52 12 -21 58 52
140 0 0 -22 22 30 13 48 5 57 190 -78 -22 13 20 -22 31 38 -21 20 33 -23 23 34
141 0 0 -23 44 44 13 47 48 58 191 -79 -23 35 50 -23 53 38 -22 44 32 -24 44 9
142 0 0 -25 3 1 13 47 32 59 193 -80 -24 54 21 -25 11 41 -24 4 25 -26 0 54
143 0 0 -26 17 34 13 47 17 60 194 -80 -26 9 7 -26 26 1 -25 20 27 -27 14 1
144 0 0 -27 28 37 13 47 2 61 196 -80 -27 20 22 -27 36 52 -26 32 54 -28 23 44
145 0 0 -28 36 23 13 46 47 62 197 -81 -28 28 19 -28 44 26 -27 41 57 -29 30 14
146 0 0 -29 41 1 13 46 32 62 199 -81 -29 33 8 -29 48 54 -28 47 48 -30 33 42
147 0 0 -30 42 43 13 46 18 63 201 -80 -30 35 0 -30 50 26 -29 50 39 -31 34 18
148 0 0 -31 41 39 13 46 5 64 202 -80 -31 34 5 -31 49 12 -30 50 38 -32 32 11
149 0 0 -32 37 56 13 45 51 64 204 -80 -32 30 31 -32 45 20 -31 47 56 -33 27 29
150 0 0 -33 31 44 13 45 38 65 206 -79 -33 24 27 -33 38 59 -32 42 41 -34 20 21
151 0 0 -34 23 9 13 45 26 65 208 -78 -34 16 0 -34 30 17 -33 35 0 -35 10 54
152 0 0 -35 12 19 13 45 13 65 210 -78 -35 5 18 -35 19 19 -34 25 1 -35 59 14
153 0 0 -35 59 20 13 45 1 66 211 -77 -35 52 26 -36 6 13 -35 12 50 -36 45 28
154 0 0 -36 44 18 13 44 49 66 213 -76 -36 37 31 -36 51 5 -35 58 34 -37 29 42
155 0 0 -37 27 20 13 44 38 66 215 -76 -37 20 39 -37 34 0 -36 42 19 -38 12 1
156 0 0 -38 8 30 13 44 26 66 217 -75 -38 1 55 -38 15 4 -37 24 10 -38 52 31
157 0 0 -38 47 53 13 44 15 66 218 -74 -38 41 24 -38 54 21 -38 4 12 -39 31 16
158 0 0 -39 25 34 13 44 5 66 220 -73 -39 19 11 -39 31 57 -38 42 30 -40 8 20
159 0 0 -40 1 37 13 43 54 66 222 -73 -39 55 19 -40 7 55 -39 19 9 -40 43 49
160 0 0 -40 36 7 13 43 44 66 223 -72 -40 29 54 -40 42 20 -39 54 12 -41 17 46
161 0 0 -41 9 7 13 43 34 66 225 -71 -41 2 58 -41 15 15 -40 27 44 -41 50 15
162 0 0 -41 40 40 13 43 24 66 226 -70 -41 34 36 -41 46 44 -40 59 48 -42 21 18
163 0 0 -42 10 51 13 43 14 66 227 -70 -42 4 51 -42 16 50 -41 30 27 -42 51 1
164 0 0 -42 39 42 13 43 5 66 228 -69 -42 33 46 -42 45 37 -41 59 45 -43 19 24
165 0 0 -43 7 16 13 42 56 65 230 -68 -43 1 24 -43 13 7 -42 27 45 -43 46 33
166 0 0 -43 33 35 13 42 47 65 231 -67 -43 27 47 -43 39 23 -42 54 30 -44 12 28
167 0 0 -43 58 44 13 42 38 65 232 -67 -43 52 59 -44 4 28 -43 20 2 -44 37 13
168 0 0 -44 22 43 13 42 29 64 233 -66 -44 17 2 -44 28 24 -43 44 23 -45 0 51
169 0 0 -44 45 36 13 42 21 64 233 -65 -44 39 57 -44 51 14 -44 7 37 -45 23 22
170 0 0 -45 7 24 13 42 12 64 234 -65 -45 1 48 -45 12 59 -44 29 45 -45 44 50
171 0 0 -45 28 9 13 42 4 63 235 -64 -45 22 37 -45 33 41 -44 50 50 -46 5 17
172 0 0 -45 47 54 13 41 56 63 235 -63 -45 42 24 -45 53 23 -45 10 53 -46 24 44
173 0 0 -46 6 40 13 41 48 63 236 -63 -46 1 13 -46 12 7 -45 29 56 -46 43 12
174 0 0 -46 24 28 13 41 40 62 237 -62 -46 19 4 -46 29 53 -45 48 1 -47 0 45
Uncertainty in time = +/- 6 secs
Prediction of 2015 Apr 24.0
Use these links for further information:
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