A 16 second occultation was recorded by Johnathan Bradshaw, using video OSD technique.

View the updated prediction.

Observers:
  1    J Bradshaw,Samford,QLD,AU
  2(M) J Broughton,Reedy Creek, QLD, AU
  3(P) Prediction, 26 July

    

Discussion:

John had a fairly noisy recording and while there were some interesting dips none seemed to fit well with Jonathan's chord.
We cannot fit a circle to Jonathan’s chord without crossing John line, so the Plot above has an ellipse that just fits the chord and makes John's site a graze point. The ellipse is plotted at the same area as a circle of 184 km and adjusted to fit Jonathan's chord and treating John's as a grazing miss.
One analysis of John's data using Occular gave a possible dip at about the right time of only mmagnitude 0.63, about half the expected 0.14 As the star is red giant, with estimated diameter of 0.0001”, a graze could explain a noisy half mag drop.
With just one chord and a nearby miss (or graze) we can be confident of the path of Germania and that it was south of the predicted line.

The figure below show the light curve of the occultation.

Jonathan Bradshaw's light curve

John Broughton with Occular analysis showing a possible graze event

Observational Data:

Observation details for MP (241) Germania
By Star              UCAC3 135-275907
On 2011-07-08  at 10:28:04.0

_______________________________

Observer   Jonathan Bradshaw
Location   Samford,QLD,AU
Longitude  +152:50
Latitude   -27:22
Altitude   80 m
Datum      WGS84
Telescope Newtonian
Aperture   36 cm
Seeing     Steady Clear
Camera Type
Camera Delay
Timing     GPS - time inserted Video with frame analysis
Disappearance  10:27:56.11
Reappearance   10:28:12.15
Comments: Personal prediction from John Broughton.
Used 3 frame integration to get a clear signal for a low mag drop event
The clarity of drop I speculate is due to the high senitivity in IR of the
Gstar camera's chip and the corresponding brightness of the star in red.

_______________________________

Observer   John Broughton
Location   Reedy Creek, QLD, AU
Longitude  +153:23
Latitude   -28:06
Altitude   66 m
Datum      WGS84
Telescope SCT including Cass and Mak
Aperture   25 cm
Seeing     Slight flickering Clear
Camera Type  WAT120N        PAL/CCIR
Camera Delay 0.33
Timing     GPS - time inserted Video with frame analysis
Disappearance  10:27:51.95
Reappearance   10:27:58.35
Comments: Too much noise to be sure of anything.